Player prop edges from our prediction models
Enhanced matchup model with play-type analysis and efficiency multipliers.
Bayesian model with Kalman filtering, matchup adjustments, and probability ladders.
XGBoost ML model trained on historical data with feature engineering.
| Model | Approach | Strengths | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|
| V3 | Matchup + Play-Type Analysis | Defensive matchup impacts, play-type efficiency | Exploiting favorable matchups |
| V4 | Bayesian + Kalman Filtering | Uncertainty estimates, probability ladders | Finding value at specific thresholds |
| V5 | XGBoost Machine Learning | Pattern recognition, non-linear relationships | Complex multi-factor scenarios |