Advanced player predictions with matchup adjustments, regime detection, and uncertainty quantification
| Stat | Total Props | With Actuals | Accuracy | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
How does V4 compare to other model versions?
| Stat Type | Props | Current | Comparison | Advantage | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
When V4 predicts X+ points over/under the line, what % actually hit?
| Edge Threshold | Total Bets | Correct | Accuracy | Over Bets | Over Hit % | Under Bets | Under Hit % | Calibrated? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Simulate P&L if you bet on every V4 recommendation above a threshold.
When V4 predicts X% probability of over, what % actually hit?
| Probability Range | Expected | Actual | Diff | Sample | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
How does V4 perform when the market agrees vs disagrees?
Win rates by game pace and edge threshold. Fast (>102), Moderate (98-102), Slow (<98)
| Pace | ≥1.0 | ≥1.5 | ≥2.0 | ≥2.5 | ≥3.0 | ≥4.0 | ≥5.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weekly V4 prop betting accuracy with cumulative running total
| Week | Bets | Correct | Weekly % | Cumulative % | Avg Edge | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Filter by stat type to see which players V4 predicts best in each category